Tech News

24 data-driven Oscars predictions from a Microsoft researcher

matthewmcIf you wish to look good at your Oscars viewing celebration tonight, one Microsoft researcher has some good recommendation.

David Rothschild‘s data-fueled prediction resume is kind of spectacular — from presidential elections to sporting occasions — and he’s provided some interesting insights into who he thinks will take house {hardware} tonight on the 86th Academy Awards.

Utilizing data from prediction markets like Betfair and the Hollywood Stock Exchange, along with user-generated information, Rothschild has pegged a winner for all 24 Oscars classes on his prediction web site PredictWise.

Listed below are a few of Rothschild’s picks for tonight, together with a share that signifies how assured he’s concerning the choice:

Greatest Image:(*24*) 12 Years a Slave (88.2%)

Greatest Director:(*24*) Alfonso Cuaron (98.1%)

Greatest Actor:(*24*) Matthew McConaughey (92.3%)

Greatest Actress: (*24*)Cate Blanchett (98.9%)

Greatest Supporting Actor: (*24*)Jared Leto (97.9%)

Greatest Supporting Actress:(*24*) Lupita Nyongo (66%)

Greatest Tailored Screenplay: (*24*)12 Years a Slave (95.3%)

Greatest Unique Screenplay:(*24*) Her (56.6%)

You’ll be able to see his predictions for the 16 different classes here and here. For extra concerning the methodology behind the prediction machine, here’s a good FAQ.

Final yr, Rothschild correctly picked 19 of the 24 Academy Award classes. We’ll see if he can do higher this yr.
Back to top button